Friday, October 19, 2012

MisterMJ NBA Systems 2007-2012

Last years NBA season was a shortened mess caused by the lock out.

Not the best situation for running handicapping systems, but despite the challenge we ended up having some very good success over all, but of course we lost a lot of opportunities with a lesser number of games played.

I'm looking forward to a full NBA season with two NBA systems that can exploit the match ups in different ways. We are building on some long term NBA success here.

NBA/NCAAB All inclusive package for just $29.99 . Use Paypal and guaranteed at mistermj.com All picks emailed direct.

MisterMJ's NBA Computer Picks 
Overall Record 2007-2012 +61.7% ATS on 300 picks.
185-115 61.7%  +$29,250 +58.5 Units Flat betting

MisterMJ's NBA Away Dog System
Overall Record 2011-2012 + 64.7% ATS 
22-12-0 +$4400

NBA Away Dog System 2011-2012 Lock out Season 

2011-2012 Season
WLTPctUnits
ATS Picks22-­12-­064.71%+­$4400

04/22/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
04/15/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
04/13/121-­1-­050.00%-­50Detail
04/11/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
04/03/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail

03/26/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
03/22/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
03/16/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
03/13/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
03/11/120-­2-­00.00%-­1100Detail
03/05/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail

02/29/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
02/19/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
02/15/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
02/14/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
02/11/122-­0-­0100.00%+­1000Detail
02/04/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
02/02/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail

01/31/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
01/30/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
01/29/122-­0-­0100.00%+­1000Detail
01/24/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
01/23/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
01/18/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
01/17/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
01/16/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
01/15/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
01/09/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
01/06/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail
01/04/121-­1-­050.00%-­50Detail
01/03/120-­1-­00.00%-­550Detail
01/01/121-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detail

12/31/111-­0-­0100.00%+­500Detai


NBA Computer Picks 2011-2012 Lock out Season

8-8-0 50% -400 View
DateWLTPctNet UnitsRecord
03/16/120-1-00.00%-550Detail
03/14/121-0-0100.00%+500Detail
03/11/120-1-00.00%-550Detail
02/22/121-0-0100.00%+500Detail
02/20/121-0-0100.00%+500Detail
02/15/121-0-0100.00%+500Detail
02/03/121-0-0100.00%+500Detail
02/02/120-1-00.00%-550Detail
01/27/121-1-050.00%-50Detail
01/25/120-2-00.00%-1100Detail
01/23/121-0-0100.00%+500Detail
01/20/120-1-00.00%-550Detail
01/13/121-0-0100.00%+500Detail
01/11/120-1-00.00%-550Detail



Thursday, August 16, 2012

MisterMJ 2011 NFL Documented Records & Summary

The 2011 NFL season was a breakout year for using advanced NFL Passer rating differential stats as a key component to get back on track in NFL handicapping. The NFL Computer Picks and the 10/10 System use  the NFL passer rating differential in different ways but the results were strong with both systems. There is some system over lap with some picks.

2011 NFL EMO's had a flat to sligthly down year but it is still a viable system with an outstanding long term record of NFL handicapping success. With the small sample of NFL games we must look at long term records and realize any one year can and will have it's ups and downs.

All things considered we have three solid weapons for NFL handicapping success. Plus the added bonus of including last years successful NCAAF system to the NFL Package.

2011 NCAAF System Record 24-14-0 63.16% ATS
 http://mistermjrecords.blogspot.com/2012/08/mistermj-ncaa-football-2011-documented.html

New to 2012! The NFL and NCAAF packages are combined for the low price of $29.99. All NFL and NCAAF College System Picks including College Bowls are combined in one package for outstanding value at only $29.99 for the entire package.

Our theory is to use multiple systems to deliver the best value in the long run. 


NFL/ NCAAF Package for $29.99 Guaranteed! Sign up at mistermj.com or use the Paypal button on this site.


Thanks. MJ

----
2011 NFL Computer Picks

15-8-1 65.22% +$1640 View View

DateWLTPctNet UnitsRecord
01/01/121-1-050.00%-20Detail
12/25/111-0-0100.00%+200Detail
12/19/111-0-0100.00%+200Detail
12/11/110-2-00.00%-440Detail
12/04/111-1-050.00%-20Detail
11/20/111-1-150.00%-20Detail
11/13/110-1-00.00%-220Detail
11/06/113-0-0100.00%+800Detail
10/30/114-1-080.00%+780Detail
10/23/113-1-075.00%+380Detai

Documented at Wagerline:
http://contests.covers.com/sportscontests/officeRecordsByDate.aspx?type=2&interval=overall&contestID=18985&ur=342704&sportID=1

----
2011 NFL 10/10 System 

12-7-0 63.16% $2150 View View

DateWLTPctNet UnitsRecord
12/18/110-2-00.00%-1100Detail
12/11/110-1-00.00%-550Detail
12/04/110-1-00.00%-550Detail
11/27/111-0-0100.00%+500Detail
11/20/112-0-0100.00%+1000Detail
11/06/111-0-0100.00%+500Detail
10/30/113-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/23/113-1-075.00%+950Detail
10/16/112-1-066.67%+450Detai

Documented at Wagerline:
http://contests.covers.com/sportscontests/officeRecordsByDate.aspx?type=2&interval=overall&contestID=18965&ur=342704&sportID=1

----
EMO NFL System  (2007-2011 Record 82-62, 56.94% ATS)

2011 EMO's
12-14-2 46.15% -$1700 View View

Documented at Wagerline:
http://contests.covers.com/sportscontests/officeLeaders.aspx?ID=18803





Saturday, August 11, 2012

MisterMJ NCAA Football 2011 Documented Record

The NCAAF Computer Picks were offered as the NCAAF package to subscribers in 2011. 

For 2012 the same system will be included with all of  the NFL package picks together as one package.

Both NFL/ NCAAF for $29.99 Sign up at mistermj.com



2011 NCAAF Computer Picks (includes Bowl selections as part of the same system)


24-14-0 63.16% +$1500 (+7.5 units $200 = 1 unit)View View
Documented at Wagerline:
http://contests.covers.com/sportscontests/officeLeaders.aspx?ID=18980

DateWLTPctNet UnitsRecord
01/06/121-0-0100.00%+200Detail
01/03/120-1-00.00%-220Detail
01/02/121-0-0100.00%+200Detail
12/31/111-0-0100.00%+200Detail
12/30/111-0-0100.00%+200Detail
12/29/110-1-00.00%-220Detail
12/28/111-0-0100.00%+200Detail
12/03/110-1-00.00%-220Detail
11/26/112-0-0100.00%+400Detail
11/25/111-0-0100.00%+200Detail
11/19/112-1-066.67%+180Detail
11/12/113-1-075.00%+380Detail
11/05/111-2-033.33%-240Detail
11/04/111-0-0100.00%+200Detail
10/29/118-3-072.73%+720Detail
10/22/111-4-020.00%-680Detai

Friday, March 30, 2012

MisterMJ MLB History & Records 2010 / 2011 (Leading to 2012 MLB (Super Dog) System

Past records for the 2010 / 2011 seasons were documented whenever possible, using Wagerline. It was not always possible to document such things as Run Lines or back tested research but most of this was done in an open environment and shared with donation partners through emails and use of the Sports forum.

We have had success and failure and learned a lot from the last two seasons.

 Every single game (approximately 9720 MLB games ! ) were scanned for statistical research, and experimentation with handicapping theory.

The bad news is that it was all hard to understand, and very complicated to implement.

The good news is that the work is behind us. It was necessary.

Going forward the CBS (2 game RL Chase) remains it's own system.

Everything else will be boiled down into one system that leverages the statistical filters with special situations in baseball provided by the large number of games (4860 per season) and the series nature of baseball which provides opportunities that can be predicted unlike any other sport.

I've found when the statistical filters are combined with the situational opportunities....magic happens.The backtest is pure, meaning the system lends itself to accurate back tests using closing lines.

The system maximizes "dog" opportunities. Approximately 100 picks per season (80-120) for a nice steady and enjoyable flow maximizing dog value when possible. It runs from April to mid Sept.


MLB Super Dog System Back Test

2009 +37.8 Units  (AL +24 units /  NL +13.8 units)
2010 +29.56 Units (AL + 8.01 units / NL + 21.55 units)
2011 + 22.18 Units  (AL + 21.58 units / NL + .6 unit)
==================

2010 MLB Season Records

MLB Computer Picks +2.6 units

16-­11-­059.26%+­1300View



+2 Plus Factors  +1.05 unit

63-­46-­057.80%+­105View



+3 Plus Factors +18.05 units
55-­25-­068.75%+­$1805ViewView
+4 Plus Factors Contrarian Dogs   +16.67 units  Per email (4/8/10)      
14-7  67% +$1667

CBS (2 Game RL Chase) +7.63 units Admin'd by Rolltide
38-39 +7.63 (92 staked, 8.3% ROI)

Logical Approach System Tracking (Records to win 1 unit)
7/15 - 10/3 (Since All-Star Break)
HOME 155-71 (+33.25)
AWAY 105-114 (-36.22)
http://s1.zetaboards.com/MisterMJ_Sports/topic/3441473/7/ 

MJ's Run Line Chasers -13.4 units

Series 19-15 (-$1340) (-13.40 units)

MJ's Special Situation +1.6 units
3-­1-­075.00%+$­833View

========================================
2011 MLB Season Records

+ 2 Away Dogs <+151 +2.3 units (Add approximately + 6 units for season results with back test)
8-­8-­050.00%+­1160ViewView
MJ's Log App Home -4.7 units
9-­10-­047.37%-­2347ViewView
+3 Plus Factors -.7 units
29-­21-­058.00%-­359View
+4 Contrarian Dogs +.3 units
17-­18-­048.57%+­179ViewView
CBS (2 Game RL Chase) +3.13 units Admin'd by Rolltide
Series Record (11-6) +3.13
total staked 25, returned 28.13 = 12.5% ROI

MJ's Special Situations +3.08 units (Per sent email 8/28/11)
8-4 +1540