NFL EMO's Record & Explanation
The NFL EMO System is a contrarian system based on my own set of Emotional factors. The theory is that human emotion is predictable...and the human response to certain factors is predictable.The NFL season is very short...each game is very much like a battle...the season as a whole is a war. It is a very very emotional and violent game...with many ups and downs over the season.
So far...these EMO factors have done a good job of predicting ATS winners...based on predictable patterns of human behavior triggered by game events and outcomes.
EMO's can only start in week #2 because the first week of regular season is needed as the first set up for any picks. For whatever reason...they do not seem to do well after about week #12. (My guess is that teams fall out of playoff races...and this changes emotional feedback as some teams lose hope for the season, and others lose an edge locking in playoff spots early.)
I make every attempt to document any and ALL of my system picks for permanent record keeping.
The 2009 EMO record was documented at Wagerline through week 17 for data gathering...but the record should only count through week # 12 as that is the cutoff for wagering on these picks.
2009 EMO Record Week # 2 - #12
21-16 +$2150 57.5% ATS
| 11/29/09 | 2-1-0 | 66.67% | +450 | Detail |
| 11/26/09 | 1-0-0 | 100.00% | +500 | Detail |
| 11/22/09 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/15/09 | 0-2-0 | 0.00% | -1100 | Detail |
| 11/12/09 | 1-0-0 | 100.00% | +500 | Detail |
| 11/08/09 | 1-1-0 | 50.00% | -50 | Detail |
| 11/01/09 | 3-1-0 | 75.00% | +950 | Detail |
| 10/25/09 | 2-1-0 | 66.67% | +450 | Detail |
| 10/18/09 | 3-1-0 | 75.00% | +950 | Detail |
| 10/12/09 | 0-1-0 | 0.00% | -550 | Detail |
| 10/11/09 | 1-2-0 | 33.33% | -600 | Detail |
| 10/05/09 | 1-0-0 | 100.00% | +500 | Detail |
| 10/04/09 | 3-1-0 | 75.00% | +950 | Detail |
| 09/28/09 | 1-0-0 | 100.00% | +500 | Detail |
| 09/27/09 | 1-2-0 | 33.33% | -600 | Detail |
| 09/21/09 | 0-1-0 | 0.00% | -550 | Detail |
| 09/20/09 | 3-1-0 | 75.00% | +950 | Detail |
http://contests.covers.com/sportscontests/officeRecordsByDate.aspx?type=2&interval=overall&contestID=15077&ur=342704&sportID=1
Posted at the RX Forum:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=654544
The 2008 EMO Record Week #2-#12 was
33-18 64.7% ATS +$6600
Unfortunately as an experimental system it was not documented at Wagerline...the record is using midweek Wagerline odds and from my personal notes as the EMO's were used in the Pick 3 and Pick 5 Systems as an indicator.
I also have a 2007 EMO record filed away on hard copy...which will be posted but it was +60% ATS Week 2-12 as well.
